11/30/2008 - Melbourne, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rod Pampling needed three extra holes Sunday to defeat countryman Marcus Fraser and win the Australian Masters.
Fraser got into the clubhouse first after posting a stellar seven-under 65. Pampling carded a five-under 67 as the two finished regulation at 12-under-par 276.
On the first playoff hole, both players two-putted for par from long range. Back on the 18th, Fraser looked to be in trouble as his second found a greenside bunker
After Pampling pitched his third to a foot, Fraser sank a 10-foot, par-saving putt. Pampling tapped his in for par and it was back to the 18th for a third playoff hole.
Fraser again made a mess of the 18th. He missed the green long with his approach, then putted past the hole. Fraser two-putted for bogey, opening the way for Pampling.
Pampling holed a three-foot par putt to secure his first European Tour win.
Robert Allenby, who shared the third-round lead with Michael Sim, managed a one-over 73. That left him alone in third at nine-under-par 279.
Second-round leader Tim Clark fired a five-under 67 to end in a share of fourth at minus-eight. He was joined there by Nathan Green (70) and Alexander Noren (68).
Fraser played five groups ahead of Pampling and flew up the leaderboard early. Fraser birdied five of the first six holes to jump to 10-under, where he joined Allenby in the lead.
The 30-year-old Fraser birdied the eighth to take the lead at 11-under. He gave that shot back with a bogey on the 11th.
Pampling opened with birdies on one and four, but he dropped a shot at the fifth at Huntingdale Golf Club. He came right back with a birdie on the sixth and then he eagled the par-five seventh to move into the lead at 11-under.
Fraser birdied the 12th to join Pampling at 11-under. Pampling then birdied the 10th and Fraser followed with a birdie at 14 to again forge a tie at minus-12.
After his birdie at 14, Fraser parred the final four holes to get in at 12- under.
Pampling stumbled to a bogey on the 13th, but he atoned for that mistake with a birdie at the 15th. He parred the final three to force the playoff.
David McKenzie ended alone in seventh at seven-under-par 281 after carding a four-under 68 on Sunday. Martin Erlandsson, Marc Leishman and Anthony Summers shared eighth at minus-six.
Sim struggled to a five-over 77 that dropped him into a share of 11th at minus-five.
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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