Struggling Braves turn to Lowe in finale with Pirates

Baseball Betting Lines

09/08/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pittsburgh Pirates sure have been enjoying their role of spoiler in this series and are now in position to sweep the Atlanta Braves for the first time in over 16 years.

To do that they will have to solve Derek Lowe, who has won all nine of his career starts versus Pittsburgh and will try to get Atlanta back on track in the finale of a three-game set this evening at PNC Park.

The Braves' offense has plated just 12 runs over their last six games, a span in which they have lost five times, and failed to cross the plate in last night's 5-0 setback. Atlanta's third loss in a row dropped the club a half- game behind Philadelphia for first place in the National League East, a spot it had held solo since May 31.

"It happens," Braves manager Bobby Cox said on Atlanta's website after the loss. "You can't do anything about it. You just got to worry about each game as they come along."

Hopefully for Atlanta, Lowe's past success versus the Pirates carries over tonight as his club aims to avoid its first sweep in this set since April 29- May 1, 1994. Lowe has a 2.76 career earned run average in his nine starts versus Pittsburgh and beat the franchise on May 28 with seven innings of one- run ball.

The 37-year-old righty hasn't pitched since Aug. 29, though, due to lingering soreness in his pitching elbow, but he did turn in a successful bullpen session on Monday.

"Anytime you miss a start and have an MRI, it's not what you want," said Lowe on Atlanta's website. "It reaffirms that what we did was the right way to go."

Lowe lasted just three innings in his last start, giving up five runs, six hits and three walks. He is 11-12 with a 4.53 ERA this year.

While Lowe has never lost to the Pirates, teammate Tim Hudson's recent run of good pitching versus the club did not carry over on Tuesday. Hudson was tagged for four runs over 6 1/3 innings to suffer the loss as he allowed an earned run against Pittsburgh for the first time since Aug. 23, 2006.

All five runs came in the seventh inning for the Pirates, as Delwyn Young hit a two-run homer and Ronny Cedeno added a triple that brought home a pair of runs. That offensive outburst backed James McDonald, who got the win after tossing seven scoreless innings.

"Tim Hudson is a great competitor, and he's a great pitcher," said Pittsburgh's Pedro Alvarez, who also drove in a run. We just always try to grind it out and play until the end."

Pirates rookie Neil Walker added a double in the game to extend his hitting streak to 14 games.

The Pirates have beaten the Braves just three times in eight meetings this year and came into this set having lost eight of their last 11 to Atlanta.

Zach Duke will try to pitch Pittsburgh to the elusive sweep this evening and is 2-0 over his last three starts, but has allowed four runs in each of his last two.

The 27-year-old lasted just five innings in a victory over the Nationals on Friday, getting charged with five hits and three walks while improving to 7-12 with a 5.24 ERA on the season.

Duke gave up just one unearned run versus the Braves at home on May 23, getting a no-decision, but the southpaw was then lit up for seven runs and 12 hits five days later in a setback at Atlanta. He fell to 2-4 with a 4.58 ERA in his career versus the Braves.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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